David Sifry, CEO of Technorati, has published his latest State of the Blogosphere analysis. The number of blogs in the world, he reports, has now reached 19.6 million. This number has been doubling consistently every five months for the last three years, a rate of increase that shows “no signs of letup.” That means that we can now predict, with considerable confidence, that in approximately three and a half years – no later than the end of the decade – every human being on earth, including infants, will be writing a blog.
… or like everyone that had a web server 5 years ago, this too will pass.
Every growth reaches it´s maximum. You know that. The more boring is this “Imagine the trend keeps on going like this, then one day every single… will…” – joke
And in four years, every human being on earth will have two blogs.
And to continue to extrapolate in the manner of Norm Augustine, by the year 2015, every waking moment of every human being in the world will be consumed by writing a blog.
However, again in the spirit of Augustine, I’m sure someone will remedy this potential problem, perhaps by developing an automatic blog-post generator.
Why does ever Blog post have to be associated with a human?
RSS could also be a form of output from applications or websites. Why not blogs for traffic/accident stats at every street intersection on the planet. Or the news/info corresponding to every Flikr, Del.icio.us, or Technorati tag in existence. Craigslist already offers RSS feeds for listings, maybe snapnames could offer a unique “blog” corresponding to every domain name in existence that would notify subscribers of its change in status. If we get even more speculative, perhaps maybe your car will have a “blog” with all its service and maintenance records.
…so, blogs for every human on earth? Yes, I think so.